Belmont Picks – June 12th, 2020

It’s an absolutely gorgeous day at Belmont Park today and we have a beautiful 10 race card to breakdown.

Race 1 (1:15pm): $64,000 Maiden Special Weight, 5 furlongs on the turf, 2 yr olds and up

Without a doubt, this was the toughest race to handicap (seriously though, I skipped and saved this race for last). All first time starters with the exception of the 4 (who has no business beating the rest of the pack). #2 Wink has Javier Castellano on top and its sire’s offspring has produced quality starters in the past. With this race being a quick turf sprint, you gotta hope Javier breaks early for the lead. #8 Alda is the next horse to consider, as Johnny V takes the saddle of this one and is 5-1 morning line odds. And lastly, it would be impossible for me to leave out #7 Girl Dad. May not have the most competitive figures of the group but Manny Franco is on top, and what can I say…I’m a sucker for a good story. RIP Mamba. 

Race 2 (1:50pm): $25,000 Claiming, 6 furlongs on the dirt, 3 yrs old and up New York Bred fillies & mares

An interesting race here, as the two favorites both raced against each other at Aqueduct in February. In that race, #8 Bertranda beat the field and was followed by #4 Letmetakethiscall, who was over 3½ lengths behind when Bertranda crossed the finish line. Both horses look like the ones to beat this race but I’ll be riding #8 and fading #4. The next horse I’d look at would be #2 Bustin to Please. She’s got the early speed like the favorites, and has also been able to come from behind and secure a win in the final stretch – Let’s hope we get some value with this one. If you’re looking to fade the favorites, take a stab at #6 Flat Calm. The 6 has struggled to find her ground in 2019, but has posted solid speed figures in the past and could find herself on the board if she can break early. 

Race 3 (2:23pm): $25,000 Claiming, 6½ furlongs on the dirt, 3 yr olds and up

#4 Lazarus Project has morning line odds of 6-1, which is great value considering he’s hit the board in 6 of his last 8 at this distance. Although he hasn’t won yet, he’s been racing against better fields, so don’t be surprised if you see him and Kendrick in the winner’s circle. If you like winners, #5 Long May You Run has found himself crossing the line first 17 times in the past and has hit the board 61% of the time. The obvious choice here is #1 Coltandmississippi, who is dropping down and has the best speed of the group. Having Irad on the saddle helps as well, keep this one in your P5’s. 

Race 4 (2:55pm): $40,000 Claiming, 1 mile on the outer turf, 3 yr olds 

Impossible to overlook the #1 King Of Ranch/#1A Pretendent combination. Both are rocking impressive early speed figures, and even if this goes off at 2-1 I’d take the value. Jose on the 1 and Kendrick on the 1A…you have to expect one of them – if not both – to be on the board in this one. I have a feeling this race will end up being chalk, so expect Christophe Clement’s #4 Arithmetic to come in as well with Manny Franco on the saddle. The 4 is 2/2 in career starts, both on the turf, and could quite possibly complete the hat trick today. If Irad stays on the #8 Rhythm Section and the value holds up, I wouldn’t mind taking him as well. Without taking any horse to win, my play here might be a trifecta and I’ll single either the #1 or the #4 in the 1st place slot…will put the play out on Twitter before the race. 

Race 5 (3:27pm): $30,000 Maiden Claiming, 6 furlongs on the dirt, 3 yrs old and up New York Bred fillies & mares 

#11 Kefalani had her best start last time out with Eric Cancel on the saddle, coming in 2nd on a sloppy Aqueduct track. Charlton Baker is the trainer for the 11, who has a solid ROI in dirt sprints. Can’t count out Irad and #13 Charlotte Webley either, who is absolutely the pony to beat this race due to her impressive early speed, just can’t die out in the final stretch like in previous races. Call me crazy, but there’s something about #9 Lovely Escort that has me loving over her 20-1 morning line odds. Certainly not the best of the pack, but certainly not the worst…

Race 6 (3:59pm): $62,000 Allowance Optional Claiming, 1⅛ miles on the inner turf, 3 yrs old and up fillies & mares 

This is the type of race I absolutely love. Value all across the board and I actually am not a fan of the morning line favorite, #6 The Great Johanna. Instead, I prefer the second favorite #10 Noor Sahara as she makes her way to the States for her debut. Watch out for this Irad and Chad Brown combination. Next up is #5 Beale Street, who has been putting up consistently solid speed figures on the turf in her last few outings. With Javier on top and this fillie’s late speed, I could see this being a come from behind to get on the board. Lastly is #7 Miss Munnings, who has shown consistent figures as well but struggled her last time out when she just couldn’t find her stride. That was a Grade 3 race though, and Johnny V is back on the saddle, and this duo won their last time out at Belmont in 2019. 

Race 7 (4:32pm): $53,000 Maiden Special Weight, 6 furlongs on the dirt, 3 yrs old and up fillies & mares

#5 Bankers Daughter should be considered here. Dylan Davis is yet to find the winners circle while on top but has come close a couple times before. Should her early speed hold up, I’m loving the value of this pony at 10-1 in the morning. The favorite, #11 Jewel Of Arabia, finished in third in her debut last summer in a stakes race here at Saratoga. With two unsuccessful trips, the 11 returns and is going for gold this time around, just not positive whether or not I like the value around it. Javier Castellano is on the saddle of #4 Vivazano, who is a first time starter trained by Phil Gleaves, who has a good ROI with first timers for gamblers. At 20-1 morning line odds, this is the value that I drool over. Will be hitting that across the board.

Race 8 (5:04pm): $62,000 Allowance Optional Claiming, 6 furlongs on the outer turf, 3 yr olds and up

#3 Explorationist’s best Beyer figures came on the turf at Gulfstream Park earlier this year, and with his return to the grass this race and Johnny V in charge, would be stupid to leave out at 8-1. Aside from the 3, the only other ponies I truly like happen to be the two favorites. Hard to pass up on #2 Chewing Gum, who has been incredible on the turf, as well as #1 Sayyaf – who seems like he can handle just about any distance and still perform well. 

Race 9 (5:36pm): $125,000 Commentator Stakes, 1 mile on the dirt, 3 yr olds and up

What a race we have here! Without a doubt, the #7 Mr. Buff is the best horse of the selection, as he’s won his last 3 races and absolutely destroyed the pack by 20 lengths his last time out recording a career high 106 Beyer figure. It’s going to be tough leaving this one out of any bets, but I won’t be sending the 7 to win. #1 Bankit is the horse I’ll be rooting to win. Irad Ortiz hops on his saddle for the first time, which could be a nice change up. The Irad and trainer Steve Asmussen dynamic duo has historically rewarded bettors too. To add some value to this card, I’ll be taking #5 Blewitt as well, who won last time out in Florida going gate-to-wire and has impressive early speed. At 15-1 in the morning, I’m really liking this one across the board. 

Race 10 (6:08pm): $64,000 Maiden Special Weight, 1¼ miles on the inner turf, 3 yr olds and up

The first horse that caught my eye was #10 Seize The Hay, a Pletcher trained beauty that raced well in its debut at Gulfstream in March, coming in second but putting up an impressive come from behind performance. He’s back on the turf today under similar conditions, and I think Johnny V might have this one. Next I have #8 Astronaut, who also ran a hell of a race on the turf at Gulfstream in April but came up just short of the win. This horse can handle the distance and has the speed to lead the pack, so long as he gets up early. Lastly, we have the #6 Bail Out. Little bit of an ironic name considering it’s the last race of the day and this one’s odds are 15-1 at the moment. That being said, this horse has more experience on the turf than any of the others, and has even put up solid numbers in those races. I’ll take the end of day Bail Out here.


Going with the Pick 6 here that begins in the 5th race…Some of these late races have great value and I couldn’t stay away from the Stakes race. A $.20 ticket here is going to cost you $43.20, not too cheap but not too expensive…Honestly, I’m just hoping to stay alive for more than 1 race this time for entertainment purposes. 

R5: 9/13
R6: 5/7/10
R7: 4/5/11
R8: 1/2/3
R9: 5/7
R10: 8/11

Thanks for reading, and be sure to follow @SpaSaturdays on Twitter for live updates. Let’s have a Friday ladies and gents! 

91 thoughts on “Belmont Picks – June 12th, 2020”

  1. Everyone loves what you guys are usually up too.
    This sort of clever work and reporting! Keep up
    the wonderful works guys I’ve included you guys to

  2. Hi! I could have sworn I’ve been to this website before but after reading through
    some of the post I realized it’s new to me. Anyways, I’m definitely delighted I
    found it and I’ll be bookmarking and checking back frequently!

    Here is my blog: Niagara XL

  3. Magnificent beat ! I wish to apprentice while you amend
    your web site, how could i subscribe for a weblog web site?
    The account helped me a applicable deal. I had been a little bit acquainted of this your broadcast offered bright transparent idea.

    My blog post – Alpha Hotrod Pills

  4. A lot of thanks for every one of your hard work on this
    web site. My mother really loves making time for investigations and it’s really simple to grasp why.
    My spouse and i learn all regarding the lively way you offer simple guidance through this website and as well as encourage participation from website visitors about this
    theme plus our princess is always becoming educated a great deal.
    Take pleasure in the rest of the new year.
    Your conducting a really good job.[X-N-E-W-L-I-N-S-P-I-N-X]I
    am extremely impressed together with your writing talents as smartly as with the format on your
    blog. Is this a paid topic or did you modify it your self? Anyway stay up the excellent high quality writing, it’s rare to look a nice
    weblog like this one today.

    My web-site – Mili Tac Watch Review

  5. May I just say what a comfort to uncover someone who really understands what they are talking about on the net.

    You certainly realize how to bring a problem to light and make it important.

    A lot more people have to check this out and understand this side of your story.
    It’s surprising you aren’t more popular because you surely possess the gift.

    My webpage … ViagRx Pills

  6. I just like the valuable information you supply to your
    articles. I’ll bookmark your blog and test
    once more right here regularly. I’m moderately sure I will learn a lot
    of new stuff proper here! Good luck for the following!

    Also visit my website … Rhino Spark

  7. Oh my goodness! Incredible article dude! Many thanks, However I am
    going through difficulties with your RSS. I don?t know the reason why I cannot
    subscribe to it. Is there anyone else getting similar RSS issues?
    Anyone that knows the answer will you kindly respond?

    Review my web-site – Viking XL

  8. A fascinating discussion is worth comment. I do believe that you
    should publish more about this issue, it may not be a taboo matter but generally people don’t speak about such topics.
    To the next! Kind regards!!

  9. Hi, I do think this is a great web site. I stumbledupon it ;
    ) I’m going to return once again since I saved as a favorite it.
    Money and freedom is the greatest way to change,
    may you be rich and continue to help other people.

  10. I truly love your website.. Excellent colors & theme.
    Did you build this website yourself? Please reply back as I’m hoping to create my own site and
    would love to learn where you got this from or just what the theme
    is called. Many thanks!

  11. Woah! I’m really enjoying the template/theme of
    this website. It’s simple, yet effective. A lot of times
    it’s tough to get that “perfect balance” between usability and visual appearance.
    I must say you’ve done a excellent job with
    this. Also, the blog loads super quick for me on Chrome.
    Excellent Blog!

  12. Thanks for the auspicious writeup. It in truth used to be a leisure account it.
    Glance complicated to more added agreeable from you!
    However, how could we be in contact?

  13. It’s actually a cool and helpful piece of information. I’m satisfied that you simply
    shared this useful information with us. Please stay us informed like
    this. Thanks for sharing.

  14. Hi, i read your blog occasionally and i own a similar one and i was just curious if you get
    a lot of spam remarks? If so how do you stop it,
    any plugin or anything you can suggest? I get so much lately it’s driving me crazy so any help is very much

  15. Hello there, I found your web site by the use of Google even as looking for a similar
    topic, your web site came up, it appears to be like great. I
    have bookmarked it in my google bookmarks.
    Hello there, just became alert to your weblog via Google, and
    found that it is truly informative. I’m going to watch out for brussels.
    I will be grateful for those who continue this in future.
    Lots of other folks will probably be benefited out of your writing.

    Cheers! scoliosis surgery scoliosis surgery

  16. Write more, thats all I have to say. Literally, it seems as though you relied on the video to make your
    point. You clearly know what youre talking about, why throw away
    your intelligence on just posting videos to your site when you could
    be giving us something enlightening to read?

    Feel free to visit my homepage – top skin care

  17. I have to show appreciation to you for bailing me out of this particular situation. Just after
    looking through the world-wide-web and meeting ways that were not powerful, I believed my life was
    well over. Existing minus the answers to the problems you have resolved as a result of your
    main short article is a serious case, as well as the
    ones that would have badly damaged my career if I had not noticed your blog post.

    That talents and kindness in dealing with all the things was very helpful.
    I don’t know what I would’ve done if I hadn’t come upon such a solution like this.
    I’m able to at this point look forward to my future.
    Thanks a lot very much for this professional smoking and teens sensible
    guide. I will not hesitate to suggest your web blog to any individual
    who needs to have guide about this topic.

  18. Thank you, I’ve recently been searching for info about this subject for ages and yours is the greatest I’ve came upon till
    now. However, what in regards to the conclusion? Are you certain concerning the source?

    Look into my web page glowing skin

  19. I just could not leave your website prior to suggesting that
    I really enjoyed the usual information a person supply to your visitors?
    Is gonna be again steadily in order to inspect new posts

    Feel free to surf to my website: diet plan

  20. Howdy this is somewhat of off topic but I was wanting to know if blogs use WYSIWYG editors or if
    you have to manually code with HTML. I’m starting a blog soon but have
    no coding know-how so I wanted to get advice from someone with experience.

    Any help would be enormously appreciated!

    Feel free to visit my homepage sex life tips

  21. Hi I am so grateful I found your site, I really found you by mistake, while I was searching on Bing for something else, Regardless I am here now and would just like to say thanks for a tremendous post and a all round exciting blog (I also love the theme/design), I don’t have time to read it all at the moment but I have saved it and also included your RSS feeds, so when I have time I will be back to read more, Please do keep up the fantastic b.|

  22. Hiya! Quick question that’s entirely off topic. Do you know how to make your site mobile friendly? My blog looks weird when viewing from my iphone 4. I’m trying to find a theme or plugin that might be able to correct this problem. If you have any recommendations, please share. Thanks!|

  23. With havin so much written content do you ever run into any issues of plagorism or copyright violation? My blog has a lot of completely unique content I’ve either created myself or outsourced but it appears a lot of it is popping it up all over the web without my authorization. Do you know any methods to help protect against content from being stolen? I’d truly appreciate it.|

  24. This is really interesting, You are a very skilled blogger.

    I have joined your feed and sit up for searching for
    extra of your magnificent post. Also, I’ve shared your web site in my social networks

  25. Hello just wanted to give you a quick heads up.
    The text in your article seem to be running off the screen in Ie.
    I’m not sure if this is a format issue or
    something to do with internet browser compatibility but I
    thought I’d post to let you know. The style and design look great though!
    Hope you get the problem solved soon. Thanks

  26. This design is spectacular! You most certainly know how to keep a reader entertained. Between your wit and your videos, I was almost moved to start my own blog (well, almost…HaHa!) Wonderful job. I really enjoyed what you had to say, and more than that, how you presented it. Too cool!|

  27. I absolutely love your site.. Very nice colors & theme. Did you build this amazing site yourself? Please reply back as I’m attempting to create my own personal site and would love to know where you got this from or just what the theme is called. Appreciate it!|

  28. We are a group of volunteers and opening a new scheme in our community.
    Your website offered us with valuable information to work on. You have done a
    formidable job and our whole community will be thankful to you.

  29. Hi! I could have sworn I’ve been to this site before but after browsing through some
    of the post I realized it’s new to me. Anyways, I’m definitely glad I found
    it and I’ll be book-marking and checking back often!

  30. Good day! Do you use Twitter? I’d like to
    follow you if that would be okay. I’m definitely enjoying your blog and look forward
    to new updates.

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published.